Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 4.705193e-05 0.000055 0.000063 0.000073 0.000084 0.000095 0.000108
2025-01-05 3.623894e-05 0.000046 0.000058 0.000072 0.000088 0.000106 0.000128
2025-01-12 2.838198e-05 0.000039 0.000053 0.000069 0.000090 0.000113 0.000142
2025-01-19 2.225024e-05 0.000033 0.000048 0.000066 0.000090 0.000118 0.000153
2025-01-26 1.801966e-05 0.000029 0.000044 0.000064 0.000091 0.000123 0.000165
2025-02-02 1.609574e-05 0.000028 0.000044 0.000066 0.000096 0.000134 0.000183
2025-02-09 1.378877e-05 0.000025 0.000042 0.000066 0.000099 0.000141 0.000197
2025-02-16 1.310533e-05 0.000025 0.000043 0.000070 0.000107 0.000156 0.000221
2025-02-23 1.135272e-05 0.000023 0.000042 0.000070 0.000110 0.000162 0.000234
2025-03-02 9.099564e-06 0.000020 0.000038 0.000067 0.000108 0.000163 0.000240
2025-03-09 7.515258e-06 0.000018 0.000036 0.000065 0.000107 0.000166 0.000248
2025-03-16 6.273772e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000063 0.000108 0.000169 0.000257
2025-03-23 5.073128e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000062 0.000109 0.000175 0.000271
2025-03-30 4.041921e-06 0.000013 0.000030 0.000061 0.000111 0.000181 0.000286
2025-04-06 3.072829e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000059 0.000110 0.000185 0.000296
2025-04-13 2.230944e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000056 0.000108 0.000186 0.000304
2025-04-20 1.662024e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000055 0.000108 0.000190 0.000314
2025-04-27 1.457403e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000056 0.000114 0.000202 0.000338
2025-05-04 1.156941e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000056 0.000116 0.000209 0.000354
2025-05-11 1.110142e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000060 0.000125 0.000226 0.000385
2025-05-18 8.762945e-07 0.000007 0.000023 0.000060 0.000127 0.000233 0.000401
2025-05-25 5.791799e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000057 0.000124 0.000233 0.000406
2025-06-01 3.972595e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000055 0.000123 0.000235 0.000415